Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: Al-Zawraa Stadium (Baghdad)

Referee: Al Hatmi Q. M. A. (Oma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
China	ZhiBo8
India	FanCode, FanCode
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Ukraine	Sport 2
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Al-Shorta Baghdad		Al-Sadd

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.4	2
	2.92	3.35	2.25	Watch
	2.77	2.74	2.87	Watch
	3.07	3.28	2.43	Watch
	3.9	4.12	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.9)	3.38 ↓ (4.12)	2.24 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Shorta Baghdad
29.4%

Draw
28.2%

Al-Sadd
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

22.1%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shorta Baghdad's performance.

Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Sadd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Al Shorta Baghdad - Al Sadd Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Shorta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Sadd will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Basil A. (C) 27. Khudhair A. S. 4. Younis M. 3. Moises Lucas 15. Yahia Alwan A. 8. Mendy D. 25. Qasim A. 11. Shakir B. 9. Ali H. 17. Farhan A. 10. Leonel Ateba	22. Barsham M. (G) 80. Soria A. 2. Pedro Miguel 16. Khoukhi B. 29. Saiss R. 6. Paulo Otavio 10. Al Haydos H. (C) 4. Camara M. 14. Meshaal M. 19. Mujica R. 7. Afif A.
Substitutes
21. Abdulkadhim S. 26. Abdulkhaleq M. 16. Ahmad H. (G) 19. Ahmed S. 7. Al Mawas M. 5. Amin R. 6. Ashabi M. 28. Jabbar H. 22. Kareem M. (G) 29. Mohammed Dawood 23. Sadoun M. 31. Salih A.	31. Abdullla Y. (G) 23. Ali H. 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 13. Al Yazidi A. 20. Atal Y. 66. Bakri Al Ameen A. 21. Giovani 40. Jarrar Y. 26. Prim P. 5. Salman T. 37. Suhail A. 11. Waad M.
Coaches
Soliman M.	Sanchez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Mendy D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Farhan A. 🟨,
58', Leonel Ateba ↓, Al Mawas M. ↑,
58', Farhan A. ↓, Amin R. ↑,
58', Khudhair A. S. ↓, Sadoun M. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Al Haydos H. ⚽, Mujica R. (A),
65', Pedro Miguel ↓, Salman T. ↑,
69', Yahia Alwan A. 🟨,
69', Salman T. 🟨,
72', Al Haydos H. ↓, Waad M. ↑,
72', Meshaal M. ↓, Giovani ↑,
83', Al Mawas M. 🟨,
88', Shakir B. ↓, Abdulkadhim S. ↑,
90+1', Mujica R. ↓, Atal Y. ↑,
90+2', Qasim A. ↓, Ahmed S. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In recent matches, Al-Sadd has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Sadd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Al-Sadd is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Cup
12.07.25	Zakho - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:0 penalties ✺
08.07.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Talaba	2:1 penalties ✺
Iraqi Premier League
02.07.25	Al-Qasim - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:2 ✺
25.06.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Hudood	3:1 ✺
20.06.25	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTWW
- Al-Sadd SC
Qatar QSL
12.09.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Sadd	1:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
01.09.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd	3:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
28.08.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Sadd	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Al-Sadd - Qatar SC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWWL

Upcoming Matches