Match Info

Stars League - Round 36

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday


	Naft Al-Basra		Al-Shorta Baghdad

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.5
	8.19	4.59	1.34
				Watch
	9	4.33	1.32	Watch
	6.44	3.8	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.35 ↑ (5.6)	4.08 ↑ (3.4)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft Al-Basra
12.5%

Draw
22.5%

Al-Shorta Baghdad
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

26.7%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

26.7%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shorta Baghdad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Shorta Baghdad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Naft Al Basra - Al Shorta Baghdad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Al-Shorta (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Yahya A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naft Al-Basra won 0.

Recent performances by Naft Al-Basra have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Shorta is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Al-Shorta is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Naft Al-Basra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League
14.06.25	Zakho - Naft Al-Basra	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Newroz - Naft Al-Basra	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Naft Al-Basra - Najaf	0:0 ✺
07.05.25	Al-Hudood - Naft Al-Basra	0:3 ✺
01.05.25	Naft Al-Basra - Duhok	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTWL
- Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
15.06.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft	4:0 ✺
24.05.25	Duhok - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:3 ✺
18.05.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala	1:0 ✺
13.05.25	Al-Karma - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:4 ✺
08.05.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karkh	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
08.04.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Al-Basra	3:1
27.06.24	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Al-Basra	1:0
10.12.22	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Al-Basra	1:1
25.02.22	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Al-Basra	2:0
15.10.21	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:3
10.02.21	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1

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