The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Gharafa 16.9%
Draw 20.4%
Al-Sadd 62.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.9%
22%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
21%
57.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.
Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Sadd's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Sadd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Gharafa - Al Sadd Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. N'Diaye K. (G) 18. Al Oui A. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 42. Sano S. 26. Al-Ali R. A. 13. Sassi F. 24. Gunnarsson A. 29. Diaz F. 11. Surag A. 10. Al Ganehi A. 8. Brahimi Y. (C)
22. Barsham M. (G) 2. Pedro Miguel 16. Khoukhi B. 29. Saiss R. 6. Paulo Otavio 80. Soria A. 33. Claudinho 21. Giovani 10. Al Haydos H. (C) 7. Afif A. 19. Mujica R.
Substitutes
33. Abdulnasir C. 17. Boussafi R. 7. Coman F. 14. Djalo A. 5. Essam M. 16. Friakh J. 34. Gamal M. (G) 99. Hamed J. 9. Joselu 21. Kahiout H. (G) 12. Normann M. 6. Traore D.
31. Abdullla Y. (G) 23. Ali H. 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 13. Al Yazidi A. 8. Asad A. 66. Bakri Al Ameen A. 4. Camara M. 24. Dilrosun J. 3. El Hannach Y. 68. Mahmoud Z. 9. Roberto Firmino 5. Salman T.
Coaches
Martins P.
Mancini R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Giovani ↓, Ali H. ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Sassi F. ⚽, Al Ganehi A. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Brahimi Y. ⚽, Sassi F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ali H. ↓, Salman T. ↑,
46', Saiss R. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Brahimi Y. ⚽, Gunnarsson A. (A),
65', Paulo Otavio 🟨,
67', Soria A. ↓, Roberto Firmino ↑,
72', Paulo Otavio ↓, Dilrosun J. ↑,
76', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
83', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
86', Roberto Firmino 🟨,
88', 3 - 1, Dilrosun J. ⚽, Roberto Firmino (A),
90+1', 4 - 1, Brahimi Y. ⚽, Surag A. (A),
90+1', Diaz F. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
Preview
Neutral location - Khalifa International Stadium.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 1.
In recent matches, Al-Gharafa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Al-Sadd is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
In this match, Al-Sadd is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 28:66. (average 1.4:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:44. (average 1.4:3.7).
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N'Diaye K. (G) 
Jang Hyun-Soo 
Sano S. 
Sassi F. 
Gunnarsson A. 
Diaz F. 
Brahimi Y. (C) 
Saiss R. 
Paulo Otavio 
Mujica R. 
Coman F. 
Djalo A. 
Gamal M. (G) 
Hamed J. 
Normann M. 
Camara M. 
Dilrosun J. 
El Hannach Y. 
Martins P. 
Mancini R. 
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