Match Info

Stars League - Round 19

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Al-Shorta Baghdad		Diyala

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.85	7.1
	1.4	4.11	7.47	Watch
	1.36	3.8	7.5
	1.34	4	9.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	3.94 ↓ (4.27)	7.88 ↓ (8.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shorta Baghdad
65.6%

Draw
22.9%

Diyala
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

21.4%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

20.3%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Shorta Baghdad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Shorta Baghdad - Diyala Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Shorta will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Al-Shorta (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Abdulkadhim S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Mahmoud A. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Ahmed S. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 9).

Al-Shorta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Diyala has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Shorta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Shorta is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Al-Shorta will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Shorta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Al Shorta	8	4	3	1	9:4	5	15
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shorta Baghdad
AFC Champions League
16.02.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Duhail	3:2 ✺
09.02.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
04.02.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Najaf	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWWW
- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
14.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karkh	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Newroz - Diyala	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Al-Talaba - Diyala	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Diyala - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
18.05.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala	1:0
26.09.24	Diyala - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:6

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