Match Info

Stars League - Round 15

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Al Talaba Stadium (Baghdad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al-Talaba		Diyala

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.1	4.75
	1.7	3.1	4.85
	1.76	3.01	4.84
	1.79	2.98	5.02	Watch
	1.73	3	4.75
	1.75	3.3	5.15	Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	4.87 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Talaba
52.1%

Draw
29.3%

Diyala
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

28.7%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

28%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Talaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Al Talaba - Diyala Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+7', 0 - 1, Tandia I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, Hashem A. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 9)

Al-Talaba is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Diyala is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Al-Talaba is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Talaba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9
17	Al Talaba	8	1	4	3	9:14	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
23.01.26	Arbil - Al-Talaba	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Newroz - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Kahraba	2:0 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Talaba - Al Mosul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWT
- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
22.01.26	Diyala - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Duhok - Diyala	1:0 ✺
13.01.26	Diyala - Al-Zawraa	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Al-Naft - Diyala	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Naft Maysan - Diyala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
14.02.25	Al-Talaba - Diyala	0:0
12.12.24	Diyala - Al-Talaba	0:1

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