The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newroz 57.9%
Draw 25%
Diyala 17.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.5%
26.6%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.4%
25.3%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newroz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Newroz - Diyala Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', Oueslati H. 🟨,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd and 11th).
Newroz is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Diyala have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Newroz for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Newroz in today's match, at odds of 1.65.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Newroz has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 2.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newroz against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Iraq
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