Match Info

Stars League - Round 14

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Kurdish


	Al-Naft		Naft Maysan

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.05	4.45
	1.85	3.15	4.28	Watch
	1.85	2.88	4.2
	1.85	3.04	4.3	Watch
	1.81	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.63)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	4.29 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
49.3%

Draw
29.6%

Naft Maysan
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

27.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

25.9%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Naft's form might have worsened.

Naft Maysan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Naft, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Al Naft - Naft Maysan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 0 - 1, Kouvouama C. M. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Khalaf H. (Penalty Awarded),
90', 1 - 2, Abdul F. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Al-Naft is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15
18	Naft Missan	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
19.01.26	Al-Naft - Al-Kahraba	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Al-Naft - Diyala	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Newroz - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Najaf - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLT
- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
18.01.26	Naft Maysan - Zakho	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Najaf - Naft Maysan	2:4 ✺
09.01.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Zawraa	2:2 ✺
05.01.26	Naft Maysan - Diyala	1:1 ✺
31.12.25	Arbil - Naft Maysan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
18.05.25	Al-Naft - Naft Maysan	0:0
06.10.24	Naft Maysan - Al-Naft	0:0
05.05.24	Al-Naft - Naft Maysan	0:2
01.03.24	Naft Maysan - Al-Naft	0:0
13.03.23	Al-Naft - Naft Maysan	1:2
23.12.20	Al-Naft - Naft Maysan	2:3

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