Match Info

Stars League - Round 14

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al-Minaa		Al-Shorta Baghdad

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.35	1.68
	4.24	3.64	1.68
	4.34	3.75	1.68	Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.7
	4.52	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.2	3.66	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (4.3)	3.57 ↑ (3.3)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Minaa
20.8%

Draw
25.4%

Al-Shorta Baghdad
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

27.3%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

26.9%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Al Minaa - Al Shorta Baghdad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Qasem M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Leonel Ateba ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).

Al-Minaa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Shorta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Minaa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Shorta is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Minaa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Minaa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Al Shorta	9	4	4	1	9:4	5	16
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
19.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Duhok - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Kahraba	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Minaa - Newroz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLLT
- Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
17.01.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Mosul	3:0 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:7 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Zakho	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
17.04.25	Al-Minaa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1
29.12.24	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Minaa	1:1
14.04.24	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Minaa	2:0
03.11.23	Al-Minaa - Al-Shorta Baghdad	Al Shorta awarded

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