Match Info

Stars League - Round 13

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Al Talaba Stadium (Baghdad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al-Talaba		Al-Minaa

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.55	7.3
	1.41	3.85	8.13	Watch
	1.4	3.4	8.5
	1.38	3.7	9.5	Watch
	1.38	3.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.67)	3.66 ↑ (3.3)	8.29 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Talaba
64.4%

Draw
24.7%

Al-Minaa
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

27.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

27.1%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Talaba's performance.

Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Minaa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Talaba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Minaa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Talaba - Al Minaa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Talaba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Al-Talaba will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Abdulrahim M. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Kisinda T. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Mohammed K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Al Sawad H. 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 2.

Al-Talaba is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Minaa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Minaa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Talaba is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Talaba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
17	Al Talaba	8	1	4	3	9:14	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
14.01.26	Newroz - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Kahraba	2:0 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Talaba - Al Mosul	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Al-Talaba - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Talaba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTWL
- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
14.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Duhok - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Kahraba	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Minaa - Newroz	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Minaa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
21.06.25	Al-Minaa - Al-Talaba	2:3
02.11.24	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	1:0
05.07.24	Al-Minaa - Al-Talaba	0:0
09.12.23	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	0:1
22.06.22	Al-Minaa - Al-Talaba	1:1
12.01.22	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	0:0
07.04.13	Al-Talaba - Al-Minaa	0:3

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