Match Info

Stars League - Round 36

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Al Talaba Stadium (Baghdad)


	Al-Talaba		Al-Karma

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.92	2.32
	2.94	3.01	2.28
	2.99	3.04	2.33	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.3
	2.97	3.02	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.7)	2.96 ↓ (3.02)	2.31 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Talaba
30.6%

Draw
30.4%

Al-Karma
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

30.3%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

30%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Talaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Al Talaba - Al Karma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Suhail A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Maknzi A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 6).

Al-Talaba has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Karma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Talaba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Al Talaba	8	1	4	3	9:14	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
15.05.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Talaba	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Al Mosul - Al-Talaba	2:2 ✺
05.05.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Diyala - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Al-Talaba - Arbil	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWL
- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
14.05.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Al-Karma - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Al-Karma - Newroz	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Karma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
05.02.26	Al-Karma - Al-Talaba	1:1
12.04.25	Al-Karma - Al-Talaba	1:1
24.10.24	Al-Talaba - Al-Karma	2:0

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