Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Medina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Ula		Abha

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3.1
	1.97	3.55	3.79
	1.93	3.46	3.51	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.1
	1.92	3.64	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.2)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	3.35 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ula
46.8%

Draw
26%

Abha
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

26.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.3%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ula's performance.

Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Al Ula - Abha Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Al-Ula will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Al Owais M. (C) 14. Jumayah F. 5. Danilo Barbosa 4. Haqawi Y. 27. Al Shamrani H. 29. Al Majhad M. 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 10. Guanca C. 9. Koulouris E. 7. Al Khulaif A. 96. Michael	30. Al Jadani A. (C) 14. Al Ghamdi F. 3. Gaari J. 19. Al Fahad A. 12. Ibrahim Y. Y. 6. Taira A. 8. Al Daajani N. 10. Al Mutairi M. 11. Muralha 77. Agi 88. Sow S.
Substitutes
77. Adam A. 45. Al Asmari F. 6. Al Hussain A. 1. Al Jubaya A. (G) 66. Al Ruwaili K. 12. Al Shamrani K. 49. Al Zain A. 2. Al Zubaidi A. 3. Razzaq A.	4. Abuyabes M. 21. Al Bouq A. (G) 79. Al Jayzani F. 66. Al Mousa H. 28. Al Mutairi B. 20. Al Shammari H. 9. Al Sulays H. 24. Al Zahrani H. 25. Asiri W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Agi 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Sow S. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 1 - 1, Al Majhad M. ⚽,
45+2', Ibrahim Y. Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Al Shamrani H. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Muralha ⚽, Al Mutairi M. (A),
65', Al Khulaif A. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
73', Ibrahim Y. Y. ↓, Al Zahrani H. ↑,
73', Agi ↓, Al Mousa H. ↑,
76', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Al Ruwaili K. ↑,
76', Haqawi Y. ↓, Al Shamrani K. ↑,
78', Al Daajani N. ↓, Al Jayzani F. ↑,
86', Al Majhad M. ↓, Razzaq A. ↑,
87', Al Mutairi M. ↓, Al Mutairi B. ↑,
87', Muralha ↓, Al Shammari H. ↑,
90+5', Adam A. 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Al-Ula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Al-Ula will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ula won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ula	5	5	0	0	10:1	9	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ula FC
Saudi Division 1
04.04.26	Al-Ula - Al-Adalh	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Jeddah - Al-Ula	0:4 ✺
03.03.26	Al-Ula - Al-Orobah	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Al-Faisaly - Al-Ula	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Ula - Al-Taee	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW
- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
03.04.26	Al-Bukayriyah - Abha	1:2 ✺
27.03.26	Abha - Al Jubail	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Al Jandal - Abha	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Abha - Al-Anwar	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Abha	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
12.12.25	Abha - Al-Ula	2:0

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