Match Info

Division 1 - Round 24

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Al Majma'ah Sports City (Al Majma'ah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Faisaly		Al-Ula

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.55	1.85
	3.83	3.72	1.83
	3.65	3.67	1.83	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.83
	3.62	3.58	1.83	Watch
	3	3.35	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3)	3.55 ↑ (3.35)	1.88 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Faisaly
25.9%

Draw
25.6%

Al-Ula
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

26.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ula's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Al Faisaly - Al Ula Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Ula will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Al Hasawi M. (G) 99. Al Mhemaid A. 4. Raphael Silva 70. Jahfali M. (C) 50. Al Shanqiti M. 28. Al Fuhaid M. 12. Morato 77. Al Shereaf A. 14. Al Mogren A. 66. Quioto R. 90. Luvannor	33. Al Owais M. (C) 14. Jumayah F. 24. Al Dohaim A. 66. Al Ruwaili K. 27. Al Shamrani H. 5. Danilo Barbosa 29. Al Majhad M. 96. Michael 10. Guanca C. 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 9. Koulouris E.
Substitutes
18. Al Aqeel M. 97. Al Dossari F. 7. Al Nakhli M. 29. Al Sahli A. 9. Al Solan H. 2. Barnawi Y. 3. Doshy M. 91. Fallatah R. 72. Gabous S. (G)	77. Adam A. 45. Al Asmari F. 11. Al Enezi Z. 6. Al Hussain A. 1. Al Jubaya A. (G) 88. Al Nabit S. 12. Al Shamrani K. 4. Haqawi Y. 3. Razzaq A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Quioto R. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Al Mogren A. ⚽,
31', Danilo Barbosa 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Raphael Silva (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Al Majhad M. 🟨,
59', Al Ruwaili K. 🟨,
63', Al Ruwaili K. ↓, Al Hussain A. ↑,
63', Koulouris E. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
72', Al Shanqiti M. 🟨,
85', Al Mogren A. ↓, Al Aqeel M. ↑,
86', Al Sulaiheem A. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
86', Al Shanqiti M. ↓, Doshy M. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Quioto R. ⚽, Morato (A),
88', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Al Shamrani K. ↑,
88', Al Majhad M. ↓, Razzaq A. ↑,
90+2', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Fallatah R. ↑,
90+6', Morato ↓, Al Solan H. ↑,
90+6', Quioto R. ↓, Al Dossari F. ↑,
90+9', Al Nabit S. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Al-Faisaly is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Ula is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Ula is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Faisaly won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ula	5	5	0	0	10:1	9	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
20.02.26	Al-Zulfi - Al-Faisaly	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Al-Faisaly - Al-Anwar	4:1 ✺
10.02.26	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Faisaly	2:2 ✺
04.02.26	Al-Faisaly - Al Jandal	4:2 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al-Zulfi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWL
- Al-Ula FC
Saudi Division 1
20.02.26	Al-Ula - Al-Taee	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Ula	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Al-Batin - Al-Ula	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Al-Ula - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Ula	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
03.11.25	Al-Ula - Al-Faisaly	2:2

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