Match Info

UAE League - Round 20

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Dibba Al Fujairah Club Stadium (Fujairah)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, Maraya


	Al Urooba		Ittihad Kalba

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.38
	3.85	3.8	1.79
	3.93	4.16	1.75	Watch
	4.06	4.1	1.69	Watch
	3.85	3.8	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↓ (5.75)	4.07 ↓ (4.4)	1.68 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Urooba
21.5%

Draw
22.9%

Ittihad Kalba
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

20.2%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

16.8%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Urooba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Urooba's performance.

Ittihad Kalba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ittihad Kalba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Urooba than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ittihad Kalba than the current prediction. (-2%)

Al Urooba - Ittihad Kalba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Urooba will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Suhail R. (G) 70. Khalid Y. (C) 20. Boumal P. 3. Lucas Mezenga 4. Suliman S. 36. Salaudeen D. 80. Jolacic S. 14. Olatunji Y. 97. Heber 13. Solomon-Otabor V. 23. Al Junaibi M.	33. Al Mantheri S. (G) 12. Rashid S. 25. Salmin Saqer A. A. H. (C) 16. Blazic M. 23. Rashid W. 44. Ghoddos S. 6. Alivoda R. 8. Caio Eduardo 10. Ghayedi M. 70. Moghanlou S. 77. Spadacio L.
Substitutes
17. Almaazmi E. A. 9. Anwar A. 30. Eid Ghumail A. 31. Gonzalez Baquero S. 16. Jalal M. 19. Moosa A. S. 21. Rashed B. 99. Traore T. 32. Ulises P. 40. Yousif A. (G)	42. Abunamous A. 18. Al Asbahi K. 27. Al Blooshi Y. 7. Al Fardan H. 22. Ali M. 55. Al Mansoori H. (G) 11. Bessa D. 39. Gustavo 1. Houti E. (G) 37. Koffi K. 95. Salmeen A.
Coaches
Jasmins A.	Rasovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Salmin Saqer A. A. H. ⚽, Spadacio L. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Al Junaibi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Boumal P. 🟨,
63', Caio Eduardo ↓, Bessa D. ↑,
63', Spadacio L. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
72', Al Junaibi M. ↓, Anwar A. ↑,
72', Boumal P. ↓, Gonzalez Baquero S. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Jolacic S. ⚽, Solomon-Otabor V. (A),
78', Moghanlou S. ↓, Abunamous A. ↑,
78', Alivoda R. ↓, Salmeen A. ↑,
82', Khalid Y. ↓, Almaazmi E. A. ↑,
86', Heber 🟨,
90+1', Solomon-Otabor V. ↓, Traore T. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 11).

Al Urooba has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ittihad Kalba is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Urooba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ittihad Kalba is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Urooba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:10 (average 0.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Urooba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Urooba UAE
UAE Football League
27.03.25	Bani Yas - Al Urooba	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Al Urooba - Al-Sharjah	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Urooba	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Khor Fakkan - Al Urooba	3:0 ✺
07.02.25	Al Urooba - Al-Jazira	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ittihad Kalba
UAE Football League
29.03.25	Ittihad Kalba - Al-Wahda	0:1 ✺
27.02.25	Al Bataeh - Ittihad Kalba	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Ittihad Kalba - Khor Fakkan	0:1 ✺
13.02.25	Al Ain - Ittihad Kalba	3:1 ✺
06.02.25	Ittihad Kalba - Al-Sharjah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
01.11.24	Ittihad Kalba - Al Urooba	3:0
04.04.22	Al Urooba - Ittihad Kalba	0:1
UAE League Cup
25.10.21	Al Urooba - Ittihad Kalba	1:0
UAE Football League
21.10.21	Ittihad Kalba - Al Urooba	2:1
UAE League Cup
15.10.21	Ittihad Kalba - Al Urooba	4:0

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