Match Info

League Cup - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Al Nahyan Stadium (Abu Dhabi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
World	Triller TV+


	Al-Wahda		Al Dhafra

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.10	5.75
	1.41	4.20	5.80
	1.50	4.55	6.80
	1.53	4.21	5.1
	1.48	3.80	6.40
	1.43	3.86	6.65	Watch
	1.44	4.30	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)	4.15 ↑ (3.7)	6.04 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wahda
62.7%

Draw
22.1%

Al Dhafra
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.4%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

23.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wahda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Wahda's performance.

Al Dhafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Dhafra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Wahda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Dhafra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Wahda - Al Dhafra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Insfran F. (G) 32. Guga 6. Ghorbani M. 44. Diarra M. 35. El Majhed A. 25. Jadsom 94. Diarra B. 66. Alvarez G. 12. Hamad A. 11. Kruspzky F. 70. Khribin O. M. (C)	17. Al Houti E. (G) 15. Al Karbi A. (C) 3. Komari D. 20. Amesimeku L. 6. Noumonvi E. 8. Mohammed Z. 88. Mendy D. 16. Ibrahim M. 95. El Berkaoui K. 11. El Khaloui M. 9. Kaba S.
Substitutes
80. Abdullah A. 19. Agbinone A. 40. Al Ameri A. (G) 92. Al Falahi Z. 96. Al Gheilani M. 26. Ammar H. (G) 20. Benteke C. 7. Caio Canedo 15. Dehghan M. 97. Mark S. 38. Pradas A. 13. Shebab H.	5. Al Harbi M. 26. Al Marzouqi Y. 44. Al Sayed A. (G) 99. Arielson 19. Batal A. 77. Ben Fajria A. 21. Djooh R. 7. Marcelinho 80. Rodriguinho 33. Samir Caetano 4. Serafim 22. Yaslam R.
Coaches
Chamusca P.	Horvat A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Diarra B. ⚽, Khribin O. M. (A),
36', Mendy D. 🟥,
42', El Berkaoui K. ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ibrahim M. ↓, Samir Caetano ↑,
46', Amesimeku L. ↓, Djooh R. ↑,
61', Al Karbi A. ↓, Serafim ↑,
67', Guga ↓, Al Falahi Z. ↑,
67', Kruspzky F. ↓, Mark S. ↑,
67', Alvarez G. ↓, Caio Canedo ↑,
77', Djooh R. 🟨,
77', Khribin O. M. ↓, Benteke C. ↑,
77', Mohammed Z. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Benteke C. ⚽, Al Falahi Z. (A),
86', El Majhed A. ↓, Shebab H. ↑,
88', Al Falahi Z. 🟨,
90+2', Mark S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 4.

Al-Wahda has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Al Dhafra has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Al-Wahda carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Al-Wahda has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:22 (averaging 2.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Wahda against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 27:14 goals (averaging 2.7:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Al Wahda	3	1	0	2	3:4	-1	3
14	Al Dhafra	3	0	0	3	2:7	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wahda FC
UAE League Cup
01.10.26	Bani Yas - Al-Wahda	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Al-Jazira - Al-Wahda	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
16.09.26	Al-Wahda - Al Kuwait	3:2 ✺
UAE Football League
11.09.26	Al-Wahda - Al-Sharjah	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Al Dhafra - Al-Wahda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWW
- Al Dhafra
UAE League Cup
01.10.26	Al-Sharjah - Al Dhafra	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Al Dhafra - Bani Yas	1:3 ✺
UAE Football League
11.09.26	Hatta - Al Dhafra	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Al Dhafra - Al-Wahda	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Khor Fakkan - Al Dhafra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
06.09.26	Al Dhafra - Al-Wahda	0:1
16.05.26	Al Dhafra - Al-Wahda	1:0
UAE Presidents Cup
24.10.25	Al-Wahda - Al Dhafra	3:1 ET
UAE Football League
19.09.25	Al-Wahda - Al Dhafra	5:2
17.03.23	Al Dhafra - Al-Wahda	1:3
25.10.22	Al-Wahda - Al Dhafra	4:2
22.04.22	Al-Wahda - Al Dhafra	3:2

Al-Wahda - Al Dhafra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide