Match Info

UAE League - Round 7

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Al Nahyan Stadium (Abu Dhabi)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv, Dubai Sports 1
World	Triller TV+


	Al-Wahda		Al-Nasr

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	4.05	4.95	Watch
	1.63	4.17	4.44	Watch
	1.61	3.98	4.83	Watch
	1.68	3.8	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 (1.63)	4 ↓ (4.17)	4.64 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wahda
56.9%

Draw
23.1%

Al-Nasr
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

21.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Al-Wahda have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Wahda - Al Nasr Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Wahda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Al-Wahda (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Wahda will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Wahda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Shamsi M. (G) 19. Amaral R. 30. Ogbu F. I. 3. Pimenta Peres Lopes L. 5. Zouhir A. 6. Ghorbani M. 10. Tadic D. 12. Hamad A. 11. Kruspzky F. 70. Khribin O. M. 94. Diarra B.	12. Shambih A. (G) 31. Amzar C. 4. Glauber 3. Gustavo Alemao 2. Sultan S. 24. Al Zaabi Z. 6. Mahdi H. 38. Ndiaye M. 28. Toure A. 23. Doumbia C. 20. Agudelo K.
Substitutes
60. Abaelaziz B. 80. Abdullah A. 36. Ahmed Z. (G) 68. Ali M. 15. Amir M. 7. Caio Canedo 22. Folha B. 9. Ghandipour R. 88. Lazovic D. 2. Mansour S. 8. Mohammed A. 38. Pradas A.	60. Al Shammari A. R. 80. Al Somhi S. 40. Al Tamimi A. (G) 17. Azarkan M. 52. Felipe Motta 5. Karamatic M. 13. Mierez R. 19. Milivojevic L. 75. Osama Z. 9. Santos J. 14. Sosu S.
Coaches
Morais J.	Jokanovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Al Shamsi M. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Toure A. (Pen),
35', Toure A. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Kruspzky F. ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
45+5', Agudelo K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Doumbia C. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
46', Sultan S. 🟨,
53', 1 - 2, Ndiaye M. ⚽,
66', Hamad A. ↓, Ghandipour R. ↑,
77', Agudelo K. ↓, Azarkan M. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Khribin O. M. (Pen),
77', Toure A. ↓, Mierez R. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Amaral R. ⚽,
88', Gustavo Alemao ↓, Al Somhi S. ↑,
88', Khribin O. M. ↓, Caio Canedo ↑,
90+3', Diarra B. ↓, Dehghan M. ↑,
90+6', Ghandipour R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 2.

Al-Wahda is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Nasr is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Nasr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Wahda is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Al-Wahda will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Wahda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wahda FC
UAE Presidents Cup
24.10.25	Al-Wahda - Al Dhafra	3:1 ET ✺
AFC Champions League
20.10.25	Al-Wahda - Al Duhail	3:1 ✺
UAE Football League
17.10.25	Al Bataeh - Al-Wahda	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
29.09.25	Tractor Sazi - Al-Wahda	0:0 ✺
UAE Football League
24.09.25	Al-Jazira - Al-Wahda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTW
- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Presidents Cup
25.10.25	Al-Nasr - Bani Yas	0:2 ✺
UAE Football League
18.10.25	Al Wasl - Al-Nasr	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Al-Nasr - Dibba Al Fujairah	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Al-Jazira - Al-Nasr	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
04.04.25	Al-Wahda - Al-Nasr	2:2
01.11.24	Al-Nasr - Al-Wahda	0:0
07.05.24	Al-Wahda - Al-Nasr	1:0
01.12.23	Al-Nasr - Al-Wahda	1:1
03.03.23	Al-Nasr - Al-Wahda	0:1
08.10.22	Al-Wahda - Al-Nasr	4:0
25.05.22	Al-Wahda - Al-Nasr	2:2

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