Match Info

QSL - Round 16

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Al Janoub Stadium (Al Wakrah)

Referee: Al Athbah A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA
Qatar	Shoof


	Al-Wakrah		Al-Sadd

	1	X	2
	4.65	4.45	1.55
	4.51	4.74	1.55
	4.62	4.75	1.56	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.53
	4.68	4.37	1.6	Watch
	4.5	4.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↓ (4.87)	4.5 ↓ (4.92)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Wakrah
20.2%

Draw
20.5%

Al-Sadd
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

18.9%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

18.8%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wakrah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wakrah than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Wakrah - Al Sadd Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Sadd will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Khater S. (G) 16. Erfan N. 28. Lucas Verissimo 2. Lucas Mendes (C) 47. Waad F. 6. Salah O. 8. Fathy H. 13. Abdurisag Y. 32. Luis Alberto 75. Zouhzouh A. 11. Berkane R.	22. Barsham M. (G) 5. Salman T. 2. Pedro Miguel 16. Khoukhi B. 6. Paulo Otavio 4. Camara M. 33. Claudinho 21. Giovani 9. Roberto Firmino 7. Afif A. (C) 19. Mujica R.
Substitutes
1. Al Bakri M. (G) 15. Ali A. 14. Al Muhaza T. 20. Al Yazidi N. 7. Assal A. 5. Fadel A. 3. Hassan A. 21. Muneer K. 24. Naji M. 9. Njie Y. 4. Saei A. 40. Valentin G.	31. Abdullla Y. (G) 15. Abweny A. 10. Al Haydos H. 23. Ali H. 13. Al Yazidi A. 8. Asad A. 24. Dilrosun J. 3. El Hannach Y. 32. Haider Dib K. (G) 29. Saiss R. 80. Soria A. 37. Suhail A.
Coaches
Moreno V.	Mancini R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Pedro Miguel ⚽, Salman T. (A),
45', Camara M. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Roberto Firmino ⚽, Giovani (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Lucas Mendes ↓, Ali A. ↑,
57', 0 - 3, Mujica R. ⚽, Giovani (A),
65', Abdurisag Y. ↓, Njie Y. ↑,
65', Fathy H. ↓, Saei A. ↑,
65', Berkane R. ↓, Valentin G. ↑,
69', Erfan N. ↓, Naji M. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Zouhzouh A. ⚽, Valentin G. (A),
77', Camara M. ↓, Soria A. ↑,
77', Afif A. ↓, Abweny A. ↑,
85', Ali A. 🟨,
85', Mujica R. 🟨,
86', Salman T. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
86', Mujica R. ↓, Saiss R. ↑,
90+3', Paulo Otavio 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Wakrah won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Al-Sadd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Wakrah has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Sadd is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Wakrah won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:42. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Wakrah won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Sadd	4	4	0	0	19:7	12	12
11	Al Wakrah	4	0	2	2	4:9	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Wakrah SC
Qatar Emir Cup
12.02.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Sailiya	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
06.02.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Ahli Doha	3:2 ✺
29.01.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Shahania	4:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
20.01.26	Al-Markhiya - Al-Wakrah	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
15.01.26	Al-Wakrah - Al Duhail	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWTL
- Al-Sadd SC
AFC Champions League
17.02.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:4 ✺
Qatar Emir Cup
14.02.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Markhiya	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Tractor Sazi - Al-Sadd	0:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
05.02.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Shahania	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
20.09.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Wakrah	2:2
29.03.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Wakrah	3:0
27.10.24	Al-Wakrah - Al-Sadd	0:3
Qatar Emir Cup
13.05.24	Al-Wakrah - Al-Sadd	0:1
Qatar Cup
01.05.24	Al-Sadd - Al-Wakrah	2:3 penalties
Qatar QSL
25.02.24	Al-Wakrah - Al-Sadd	0:0
02.09.23	Al-Sadd - Al-Wakrah	0:0

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