Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 9

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)


	Alacranes de Durango		Chihuahua

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.5
	2.84	2.79	2.67
	2.81	2.69	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.78)	2.81 ↓ (3.06)	2.61 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
33.1%

Draw
32.2%

Chihuahua
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.9%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.5%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Chihuahua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chihuahua than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Alacranes de Durango - Chihuahua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Alacranes de Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.09.23	Alacranes de Durango - Coras	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Real Apodaca - Alacranes de Durango	0:2 ✺
08.09.23	Alacranes de Durango - Calor de San Pedro	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Saltillo - Alacranes de Durango	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTW
- Chihuahua FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
29.09.23	Chihuahua - Los Cabos United	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Mexicali - Chihuahua	1:3 ✺
15.09.23	Chihuahua - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Leones Negros 2 - Chihuahua	0:2 ✺
01.09.23	Chihuahua - Tritones Vallarta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW

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