The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alacranes de Durango 37.4%
Draw 28.1%
Atlético Morelia 34.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.3%
28.3%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
27.8%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
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X
2
0%
0%
0%
Alacranes de Durango - Atlético Morelia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
Atlético Morelia is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals).
Alacranes de Durango has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Atlético Morelia has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Alacranes de Durango has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 1:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alacranes de Durango against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.
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