Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Real Apodaca		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.35	2.11
	3.13	3.38	2.12	Watch
	3.14	3.26	2.11	Watch
	3.05	3.35	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (3)	3.34 ↑ (3.24)	2.11 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Apodaca
29.5%

Draw
27.3%

Alacranes de Durango
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.2%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

27.7%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Apodaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Apodaca than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Real Apodaca - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Parra Teran J. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Reyes Olguin J. I. ⚽,
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Alacranes de Durango could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alacranes de Durango will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Apodaca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:10 (average 0.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Apodaca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Apodaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.04.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Real Apodaca	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Real Apodaca - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:2 penalties ✺
23.03.25	Real Apodaca - Mexicali	1:0 ✺
18.03.25	Tecos FC - Real Apodaca	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Alacranes de Durango - Real Apodaca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.04.25	Alacranes de Durango - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Tigres de Álica - Alacranes de Durango	1:3 ✺
18.03.25	Tuzos UAZ - Alacranes de Durango	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Alacranes de Durango - Real Apodaca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.03.25	Alacranes de Durango - Real Apodaca	2:0
29.11.24	Alacranes de Durango - Real Apodaca	1:1
03.11.24	Real Apodaca - Alacranes de Durango	1:4
16.02.24	Alacranes de Durango - Real Apodaca	1:0
17.09.23	Real Apodaca - Alacranes de Durango	0:2

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