Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 20

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak (Vladikavkaz)

Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)


	Alania Vladikavkaz		Ural

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.54	1.83
	4.22	3.42	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.79)	3.48 ↑ (3.34)	1.85 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alania Vladikavkaz
21.6%

Draw
27.2%

Ural
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

28.1%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

27.3%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Alania Vladikavkaz - Ural Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soldatenko R. (G) 5. Bagaev A. 19. Butaev A. 11. Chochiev A. 7. Gurtsiev B. 58. Isik M. 10. Khadartsev B. 8. Khugaev A. 22. Moskalenchik I. 3. Pliev K. 15. Tsallagov I. (C)	71. Mamin A. (G) 22. Beveev M. 27. Chudin I. 5. Egorychev A. (C) 44. Malkevich V. 46. Mamin A. 43. Margasov T. 8. Miskic D. 17. Sekulic M. 50. Voronov M. 4. Yusupov A.
Substitutes
9. Abdokov N. 71. Byazrov A. 14. Chimezie W. 70. Daurov R. 37. Gagloev T. 12. Gubiev E. 27. Makarov S. 76. Nafikov V. 23. Natabashvili G. (G) 18. Toboev T. 13. Zaseev A.	99. Arapov D. (G) 55. Ayupov T. 70. Bardachev M. 6. Goglichidze L. 15. Ishkov I. 16. Italo 18. Morozov N. 42. Mosin E. K. 7. Porokhov I. 77. Shcherbitskiy D. (G) 14. Zheleznov Y.
Coaches
Gogniev S.	Shatov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Sekulic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Malkevich V. ↓, Mosin E. K. ↑,
46', Voronov M. ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
61', Miskic D. ↓, Porokhov I. ↑,
68', Beveev M. ↓, Goglichidze L. ↑,
70', Khugaev A. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
75', Moskalenchik I. ↓, Toboev T. ↑,
80', Isik M. ↓, Gagloev T. ↑,
80', Chochiev A. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
83', 🟨,
90+2', Tsallagov I. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Alania is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ural is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ural is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alania won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
16.11.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Rotor	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Torpedo Moscow - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:3 ✺
20.10.24	Sokol Saratov - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLLW
- FK Ural
Russian FNL
16.11.24	Ural - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	4:3 ✺
10.11.24	Shinnik - Ural	0:2 ✺
04.11.24	Ural - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
29.10.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ural	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL
26.10.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ural	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
31.08.24	Ural - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:1

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