Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 16

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak (Vladikavkaz)

Referee: Panin I. (Rus)


	Alania Vladikavkaz		Chayka Peschanokopskoye

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.15	3.98
	2.05	3.18	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.97)	3.17 ↓ (3.5)	3.89 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alania Vladikavkaz
45.7%

Draw
29.9%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Alania Vladikavkaz - Chayka Peschanokopskoye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Natabashvili G. (G) 9. Abdokov N. 5. Bagaev A. 70. Daurov R. 58. Isik M. 10. Khadartsev B. 8. Khugaev A. 76. Nafikov V. 3. Pliev K. 2. Tataev A. 15. Tsallagov I. (C)	73. Shtepa M. (G) 99. Evdokimov A. 4. Ibragimov K. 44. Karmaev N. 7. Khokhlachev A. (C) 90. Malyarov N. 2. Pelikh D. 19. Rudenko V. 23. Uzhgin M. 13. Yanov D. 77. Zarypbekov E.
Substitutes
14. Chimezie W. 11. Chochiev A. 12. Gubiev E. 7. Gurtsiev B. 77. Kokoev D. 27. Makarov S. 89. Shashlov D. (G) 6. Tarba Z. 18. Toboev T. 13. Zaseev A.	8. Arbuzov Y. 17. Bammatgereev M. 78. Chernyakov D. 84. Ivashin A. 98. Khodanovich A. (G) 89. Kotov D. 9. Kozachenko O. 11. Levin M. 63. Nesterov A. 18. Nikolaev O.
Coaches
Gogniev S.	Kaleshin E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Malyarov N. ⚽,
28', Bagaev A. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Khadartsev B. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Rudenko V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nafikov V. ↓, Tarba Z. ↑,
46', Khugaev A. ↓, Makarov S. ↑,
51', 🟨,
61', 1 - 3, Rudenko V. ⚽,
64', Uzhgin M. 🟨,
65', Uzhgin M. ↓, Nikolaev O. ↑,
68', Yanov D. ↓, Bammatgereev M. ↑,
70', Pelikh D. 🟨,
70', Khokhlachev A. ↓, Arbuzov Y. ↑,
78', Kokoev D. ↓, Toboev T. ↑,
90', Shtepa M. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 3, Tsallagov I. ⚽,
90+10', Gurtsiev B. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Chayka Peschanokopskoye have a series of home games.

Alania will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alania won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Alania won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
20.10.24	Sokol Saratov - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.24	Tyumen - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
13.10.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Rotor - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWT
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
21.10.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
17.10.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Znamya Truda	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL
13.10.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Sochi - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	5:0 ✺
29.09.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.06.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:4
Russian FNL
15.11.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1
08.08.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3
Club Friendly
13.07.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:3

Alania Vladikavkaz - Chayka Peschanokopskoye: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide