The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alania Vladikavkaz 30.7%
Draw 31.3%
Arsenal Tula 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
29.9%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
28%
39.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Alania Vladikavkaz - Arsenal Tula Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alania will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Arsenal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Soldatenko R. (G) 9. Abdokov N. 5. Bagaev A. 19. Butaev A. 37. Gagloev T. 10. Khadartsev B. 8. Khugaev A. 22. Moskalenchik I. 76. Nafikov V. 2. Tataev A. 15. Tsallagov I. (C)
36. Levashov M. (C) 44. Berdnikov A. 10. Geloyan I. 13. Kaynov M. 78. Lipovoy D. 6. Pechenkin N. 5. Razdorskikh N. 22. Tsaraev A. 9. Turishchev M. 25. Volkov Z. 28. Zhilkin G.
Substitutes
71. Byazrov A. 14. Chimezie W. 11. Chochiev A. 70. Daurov R. 12. Gubiev E. 27. Makarov S. 23. Natabashvili G. (G) 6. Tarba Z. 13. Zaseev A.
3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 34. Dmitriev O. 60. Kashintsev T. (G) 23. Korotkov A. 4. Nduka I. D. 14. Odeyinka M. 8. Popov A. 64. Semenchuk D. 21. Shevchenko E. 50. Sokolov I. 90. Sugrobov V. (G) 11. Tkachev S.
Coaches
Gogniev S.
Storozhuk A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Geloyan I. ↓, Tkachev S. ↑,
46', Lipovoy D. ↓, Korotkov A. ↑,
59', Berdnikov A. 🟨,
64', Korotkov A. ↓, Popov A. ↑,
73', Turishchev M. 🟨,
77', Turishchev M. ↓, Odeyinka M. ↑,
77', Nafikov V. ↓, Tarba Z. ↑,
77', Gagloev T. ↓, Toboev T. ↑,
87', 🟨,
87', Abdokov N. ↓, Gurtsiev B. ↑,
90+3', Khugaev A. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alania won 2.
Alania is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Arsenal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Alania won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.5:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Alania won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).