Location: Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak (Vladikavkaz)
Alania Vladikavkaz
Veles Moscow
1
X
2
2.56
2.65
3.03
2.56
2.65
3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.56 ↑ (2.4)
2.65 ↓ (3.02)
3.03 ↑ (2.87)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alania Vladikavkaz 35.6%
Draw 34.4%
Veles Moscow 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
30.2%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
29.6%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (+1%)
Alania Vladikavkaz - Veles Moscow Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Byazrov D. (G) 99. Abdulkhamidov M. 14. Amiraliev A. 5. Bagaev A. 71. Byazrov A. 11. Chertkoev D. 7. Dibirov I. 4. Kachmazov S. 8. Khugaev A. 91. Tsallagov D. 9. Zakirov A. M.
1. Mitsaev R. (G) 40. Burkin D. 10. Geloyan I. 5. Koloskov A. 17. Kotov P. 88. Kovalkov M. 80. Rybalko M. 97. Shubin A. 77. Smirnov O. 8. Tarasenko Z. 22. Zavezen Y. (C)
Substitutes
37. Gagloev T. 27. Gogniev R. 6. Ibragimov E. 76. Karkuzaev G. 18. Kobesov D. 21. Kozyrev A. 75. Ogoev S. 55. Ramonov Z. 89. Shashlov D. (G) 92. Stanisavljevic A. 57. Tepsikoev D. 58. Yshyk M.
24. Biryukov D. 90. Galkin V. 76. Kuptsov I. (G) 14. Lapinsky S. 4. Maklakov I. 92. Popov P. 23. Skvortsov K. 20. Sysoev E. 3. Volkov V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Tarasenko Z. (Pen),
33', Byazrov A. 🟨,
45', Amiraliev A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', Shubin A. 🟨,
53', Zavezen Y. 🟨,
54', Bagaev A. 🟨,
57', Geloyan I. 🟨,
58', Tsallagov D. ↓, Yshyk M. ↑,
64', Kotov P. 🟨,
64', Tarasenko Z. ↓, Lapinsky S. ↑,
65', Shubin A. ↓, Sysoev E. ↑,
69', Zakirov A. M. ↓, Kobesov D. ↑,
69', Chertkoev D. ↓, Gagloev T. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Sysoev E. ⚽,
79', Smirnov O. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
79', Kotov P. ↓, Maklakov I. ↑,
82', Khugaev A. ↓, Karkuzaev G. ↑,
82', Abdulkhamidov M. ↓, Gogniev R. ↑,
84', Mitsaev R. 🟨,
86', 0 - 3, Lapinsky S. ⚽,
89', 0 - 4, Galkin V. ⚽,
90', Geloyan I. ↓, Skvortsov K. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alania won 3.
Alania has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Veles has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Veles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alania won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Alania won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Veles Moscow - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 31.78%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Byazrov D. (G) 
Geloyan I. 
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