The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volgar Astrakhan 36.6%
Draw 32%
Alania Vladikavkaz 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
32.5%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
32.1%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volgar Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Volgar Astrakhan - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yampolskiy V. (G) 69. Anosov D. 57. Krotov V. (C) 17. Lesnikov D. 10. Morozov V. 7. Pavlishin A. 23. Petrovskiy Y. 8. Poluboyarinov D. 28. Proshkin E. 67. Volkov K. 58. Zuev I.
1. Byazrov D. (G) 99. Abdulkhamidov M. 17. Daurov R. 4. Kachmazov S. 8. Khugaev A. (C) 21. Kozyrev A. 3. Kuskov A. 75. Ogoev S. 55. Ramonov Z. 30. Shavlokhov D. 9. Zakirov A. M.
Substitutes
9. Chupayov A. 13. Ivanov D. 19. Kolesnichenko K. 62. Kovalevskiy E. 71. Mamin A. (G) 11. Nosov A. 26. Pelikh D. 14. Radjabov A. 5. Strelnik M.
5. Bagaev A. 19. Butaev A. 2. Gioev A. 7. Gurtsiev B. 11. Matyushenko I. 23. Nafikov V. 31. Natabashvili G. (G) 47. Revazov A. 57. Tepsikoev D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Morozov V. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Khugaev A. ⚽,
20', Kachmazov S. 🟨,
40', Anosov D. ↓, Kovalevskiy E. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Morozov V. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Morozov V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Ramonov Z. ↓, Gurtsiev B. ↑,
46', Kovalevskiy E. ↓, Radjabov A. ↑,
51', Gurtsiev B. 🟨,
54', 2 - 2, Kachmazov S. ⚽,
58', Krotov V. ↓, Strelnik M. ↑,
65', 2 - 3, Gurtsiev B. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Morozov V. ↓, Chupayov A. ↑,
66', Petrovskiy Y. ↓, Ivanov D. ↑,
68', Kachmazov S. ↓, Butaev A. ↑,
68', Daurov R. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
69', 2 - 4, Zakirov A. M. ⚽,
76', Kuskov A. 🟨,
84', Zakirov A. M. ↓, Gioev A. ↑,
85', Abdulkhamidov M. ↓, Matyushenko I. ↑,
85', Volkov K. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 4, Lesnikov D. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 4, Radjabov A. ⚽,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8th in the Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 7th in the Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volgar won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Alania could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Volgar has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:19 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Volgar against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 0.8:0.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Alania Vladikavkaz
12
3
6
3
16:12
4
15
8
Volgar-Astrakhan
12
1
9
2
12:13
-1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Volgar Astrakhan - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Alania Vladikavkaz - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 29.48%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
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Yampolskiy V. (G) 
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