Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 5

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak (Vladikavkaz)

Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)


	Alania Vladikavkaz		Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	3.18
	2.33	3.16	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)	3.08 ↓ (3.3)	3.16 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alania Vladikavkaz
39.8%

Draw
30.4%

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Alania Vladikavkaz - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soldatenko R. (G) 5. Bagaev A. 19. Butaev A. 11. Chochiev A. 91. Dolgov P. 37. Gagloev T. 27. Makarov S. 22. Moskalenchik I. 3. Pliev K. 2. Tataev A. 15. Tsallagov I. (C)	1. Antipin S. (G) 7. Chukanov A. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 8. Lomakin A. (C) 33. Maslovskiy A. 96. Rukas T. 88. Samoilov D. 9. Savelyev M. 10. Shipunov T. 12. Shiryaev M. 3. Tses Y.
Substitutes
9. Abdokov N. 14. Chimezie W. 70. Daurov R. 61. Dryaev A. 12. Gubiev E. 8. Khugaev A. 77. Kokoev D. 76. Nafikov V. 23. Natabashvili G. (G) 6. Tarba Z. 13. Zaseev A.	4. Denisov R. 13. Grigorjev D. 20. Laykin M. 87. Mazurin A. 28. Molteninov I. 18. Nadolskiy A. 50. Shamov E. (G)
Coaches
Tazabaev S.	Tikhonov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Shipunov T. ↓, Grigorjev D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Gilyazetdinov A. ⚽,
60', Chochiev A. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
63', Chukanov A. 🟨,
68', Makarov S. ↓, Khugaev A. ↑,
68', Butaev A. ↓, Gubiev E. ↑,
68', Dolgov P. ↓, Kokoev D. ↑,
79', Samoilov D. 🟨,
80', Gagloev T. ↓, Dryaev A. ↑,
86', Savelyev M. ↓, Molteninov I. ↑,
86', Gilyazetdinov A. ↓, Mazurin A. ↑,
90+1', Mazurin A. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alania won 1.

Recent matches Alania is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yenisey is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alania will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Alania won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Alania won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
03.08.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
28.07.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
21.07.24	Tyumen - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
15.07.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Ufa	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTL
- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
05.08.24	Arsenal Tula - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Sokol Saratov - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - KAMAZ	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.24	Rubin Kazan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
13.04.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:1
02.09.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1
20.11.22	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:0
31.07.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:1
13.11.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2
31.07.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3
25.11.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0

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