Match Info

FNL - Round 34

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak (Vladikavkaz)

Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Alania Vladikavkaz		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	4.49	3.41	1.84
	4.65	3.48	1.79	Watch
	3.6	2.9	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.31)	3.26 ↑ (3)	1.78 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alania Vladikavkaz
21.4%

Draw
27.8%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

31.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

32.9%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alania Vladikavkaz's form might have worsened.

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alania Vladikavkaz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alania Vladikavkaz - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Magomedov A. (G) 58. Yshyk M. 5. Bagaev A. 73. Chirkov M. 87. Bulatsev T. 95. Gogniev S. 9. Zakirov A. M. 12. Kazantsev D. 37. Gagloev T. 21. Kozyrev A. 76. Nafikov V.	28. Yanovich N. (G) 65. Tolstopyatov N. 12. Shiryaev M. 2. Sitdikov M. 24. Kakhidze A. 6. Rodin D. 15. Nikitin A. 70. Abdokov N. 99. Emelyanov D. 90. Shiltsov K. 11. Aliev S.
Substitutes
79. Chertkoev D. 65. Datiev Z. S. 70. Daurov R. 28. Dudaev I. 25. Kokoev D. 23. Natabashvili G. (G) 75. Ogoev S. 7. Tavzarashvili L.	27. Budylin A. 1. Golubev A. (G) 10. Magomedov R. 21. Mikhailov D. 9. Morozov K. 32. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 17. Valiakhmetov E.
Coaches
Gogniev S.	Novikov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Aliev S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nafikov V. ↓, Dudaev I. ↑,
46', Kazantsev D. ↓, Daurov R. ↑,
46', Zakirov A. M. ↓, Ogoev S. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Bulatsev T. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Shiltsov K. ⚽,
65', Shiltsov K. ↓, Magomedov R. ↑,
65', Nikitin A. ↓, Morozov K. ↑,
75', Chirkov M. ↓, Chertkoev D. ↑,
75', Kakhidze A. 🟨,
79', Rodin D. ↓, Valiakhmetov E. ↑,
84', Bulatsev T. ↓, Kokoev D. ↑,
89', Shiryaev M. 🟨,
90+1', Aliev S. ↓, Budylin A. ↑,
90+4', Bagaev A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Alania is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alania won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Neftekhimik could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alania won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alania won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
19.05.25	KAMAZ - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - SKA Khabarovsk	0:4 ✺
03.05.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Torpedo Moscow	2:4 ✺
20.04.25	Sochi - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLWLL
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
19.05.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sochi	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Tyumen - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
21.09.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0
Club Friendly
07.07.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1
Russian FNL
03.03.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:0
24.07.23	Alania Vladikavkaz - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0
05.03.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0
14.08.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0
06.05.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	5:2

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