Match Info

FNL - Round 12

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Krasnoyarsk)

Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)


	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.46	3.1	2.7
	2.77	3.15	2.72	Watch
	2.7	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.7)	3.03 ↑ (2.85)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
35.3%

Draw
30.7%

Torpedo Moscow
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

32.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

32.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antipin S. (G) 33. Maslovskiy A. 22. Gyurdzhan A. 3. Tses Y. 5. Emerson 7. Chukanov A. 6. Batyrev A. 24. Pogosov A. 18. Nadolskiy A. 11. Khashkulov A. 75. Okladnikov A. (C)	12. Baburin E. (G) 15. Danilkin E. 90. Roganovic B. 84. Churilov V. 4. Borodin S. (C) 97. Curic M. 8. Galoyan A. 21. Lomakin A. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 73. Shitov V. 79. Kashtanov A.
Substitutes
20. Belem A. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 49. Kenfak O. 19. Krotov V. 87. Mazurin A. 77. Ogienko R. 23. Savin N. 99. Sorokin A. (G) 79. Yunusov R. (G) 17. Zazvonkin I.	9. Bakic D. 19. Baytukov R. 14. Burkhin E. 23. Danilin K. 46. Dunay V. 5. Moskvichev V. 99. Shevchenko G. 25. Soldatenko R. (G) 7. Yushin A.
Coaches
Tikhonov A.	Parfenov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Gyurdzhan A. 🟨,
63', Shitov V. ↓, Yushin A. ↑,
64', Nadolskiy A. ↓, Gilyazetdinov A. ↑,
74', Lomakin A. ↓, Danilin K. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Yushin A. ⚽,
87', Gyurdzhan A. ↓, Ratkovic L. ↑,
87', Okladnikov A. ↓, Ogienko R. ↑,
88', Curic M. ↓, Moskvichev V. ↑,
88', Kashtanov A. ↓, Bakic D. ↑,
90+3', Emerson 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yenisey won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Yenisey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Yenisey won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Yenisey won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian Cup
25.09.25	Amkal Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLT
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk - Torpedo Moscow	1:3 ✺
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Sokol Saratov - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Torpedo Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	KAMAZ - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
03.09.25	Torpedo Moscow - Ufa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
09.11.24	Torpedo Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0
27.07.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:1
02.03.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
17.09.23	Torpedo Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0
Club Friendly
20.06.22	Torpedo Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1
Russian FNL
15.05.22	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:1
23.10.21	Torpedo Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1

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