Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Abovyan City Stadium (Abovyan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)


	Alashkert		Debreceni

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.37
	2.9	3.15	2.45
	3.05	2.8	2.54
	3.09	2.88	2.54
	3.05	2.99	2.51	Watch
	3.1	3.15	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.18)	3.04 ↓ (3.34)	2.45 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alashkert
31.3%

Draw
30.7%

Debreceni
38%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.9%

27.6%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.8%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alashkert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Debreceni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Debreceni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alashkert than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Debreceni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	50%	28.6%

Alashkert - Debreceni Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Alashkert will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Debreceni will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cancarevic O. (G) 33. Ustinov V. 27. Carrillo D. 3. Voskanyan T. (C) 77. Muzek M. 21. Flores Barrios R. D. 5. Angulo W. 10. Khurtsidze D. 98. Mimito 99. Racines Y. B. 95. Agdon	16. Megyeri B. (G) 29. Kusnyir E. 14. Dreskovic M. 94. Lagator D. 11. Ferenczi J. 20. Loncar S. 10. Dzsudzsak B. (C) 15. Manrique C. 88. Szecsi M. 23. Babunski D. 89. Kyziridis A.
Substitutes
71. Aivazov A. (G) 20. Gareginyan Y. 2. Grigoryan S. 88. Kocharyan A. 9. Kutalia L. 4. Mensah A. 7. Nalbandyan K. 94. Olamilekan Fatai S. 55. Tiago Cameta 17. Yedigaryan A.	25. Baranyai N. 17. Barany D. 31. Bevardi Z. 27. Bodi A. 99. Domingues B. 87. Engedi M. (G) 1. Milosevic M. (G) 18. Ojediran H. 37. Oliveira J. 21. Romanchuk O. 77. Vajda B. 33. Varga J.
Coaches
Gevorgyan V.	Blagojevic S.

Preview

1st leg.

Alashkert is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Debreceni is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alashkert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alashkert FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Arsenal Tivat - Alashkert	1:6 ✺
13.07.23	Alashkert - Arsenal Tivat	1:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
06.06.23	Alashkert - Pyunik	1:2 ✺
31.05.23	Van - Alashkert	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Alashkert - Urartu Yerevan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLWW
- Debreceni VSC
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Debreceni - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:1 ✺
18.07.23	Liefering - Debreceni	1:10 ✺
11.07.23	Wolfsberger - Debreceni	1:0 ✺
06.07.23	Debreceni - Kisvárda	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
27.05.23	Debreceni - Ujpest	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alashkert FC
Armenian Premier League
31.10.26	Ararat - Alashkert	✺
Armenian Cup
28.10.26	Alashkert - BKMA Yerevan	✺
- Debreceni VSC
Hungarian NB I
01.11.26	Puskás Academy - Debreceni	✺
Hungarian Cup
28.10.26	Csepel - Debreceni	✺

Alashkert - Debreceni