Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Alavés C		Real Sociedad C

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.92	3.05
	2.2	3.19	3.16
	2.26	3.02	3.19	Watch
	2.2	3	3
	2.23	3.33	3.12
	2.2	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.18)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	3.09 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés C
41.1%

Draw
29.4%

Real Sociedad C
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

26.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Real Sociedad C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Alavés C - Real Sociedad C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

Alavés C has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Sociedad C has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alavés C could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alavés C won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Real Sociedad C	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8
8	Alaves C	5	2	1	2	11:6	5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
31.01.26	Pasaia - Alavés C	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Alavés C - Lagun Onak	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Deusto - Alavés C	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Portugalete - Alavés C	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Alavés C - San Ignacio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTLW
- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
31.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Leioa - Real Sociedad C	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Eibar C	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Real Sociedad C - Añorga	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Durango - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Real Sociedad C - Alavés C	1:0

Alavés C - Real Sociedad C: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide