Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 23Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday
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Leioa |
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Durango |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
|
 |
1.07 |
7.90 |
25.00 |
 Watch |
 |
1.91 |
2.9 |
4 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3.39 |
3.91 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.85) |
4.32 ↑
(3.2) |
9.2 ↑
(4.03) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leioa
63.5% | Draw
24.8% | Durango
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leioa's performance.Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Durango might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-14.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leioa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durango than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durango could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Leioa - Durango Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 79', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2.Leioa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Durango has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). In this match, Leioa is the team to beat.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1:1).Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 9 |
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| 10 | Durango | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 | | | 11.10.25 | Durango - Leioa | 0:0 | | 16.04.25 | Leioa - Durango | 1:3 | | 06.12.24 | Durango - Leioa | 0:1 | | 02.03.24 | Leioa - Durango | 2:1 | | 12.10.23 | Durango - Leioa | 2:1 | | 11.02.23 | Durango - Leioa | 1:2 | | 08.10.22 | Leioa - Durango | 1:3 |
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