Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Santurtzi		Alavés C

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.05	2.72
	2.42	3.19	2.79
	4.56	4.06	1.63	Watch
	2.35	3.13	2.73
	2.37	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.27)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)	2.53 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santurtzi
33.8%

Draw
28.7%

Alavés C
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santurtzi's form might have worsened.

Alavés C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alavés C's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santurtzi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alavés C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santurtzi - Alavés C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santurtzi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Santurtzi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alaves C	5	2	1	2	11:6	5	7
17	Santurtzi	5	1	0	4	2:7	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.02.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Santurtzi	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Santurtzi - Leioa	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Eibar C - Santurtzi	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Santurtzi - Añorga	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Santurtzi - Durango	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTWT
- Deportivo Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.02.26	Alavés C - Real Sociedad C	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Pasaia - Alavés C	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Alavés C - Lagun Onak	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Deusto - Alavés C	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Portugalete - Alavés C	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.05.25	Santurtzi - Alavés C	2:0
21.12.24	Alavés C - Santurtzi	3:1

Santurtzi - Alavés C: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide