Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Alavés C		Lagun Onak

	1	X	2
	2.32	3	2.82
	2.58	2.98	2.76
	1.47	4.35	5.93	Watch
	2.52	2.88	2.72
	2.62	2.9	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.37)	3.22 ↑ (2.97)	3.38 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés C
41.7%

Draw
29.8%

Lagun Onak
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

31.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Lagun Onak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (+2%)

Alavés C - Lagun Onak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 3, ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Alavés C have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lagun Onak is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alavés C won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Alavés C won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alaves C	5	2	1	2	11:6	5	7
9	Lagun Onak	5	2	1	2	4:5	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.01.26	Deusto - Alavés C	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Portugalete - Alavés C	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Alavés C - San Ignacio	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Derio - Alavés C	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	Alavés C - Touring KE	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWWT
- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
17.01.26	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Lagun Onak - Leioa	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Eibar C - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Lagun Onak - Añorga	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Durango - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.03.24	Lagun Onak - Alavés C	2:1
21.10.23	Alavés C - Lagun Onak	0:1

Alavés C - Lagun Onak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide