Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Derio |
|
Alavés C |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.23 |
2.96 |
3.22 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3.08 |
3.36 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.19 |
3.08 |
3.12 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3 |
3.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.21) |
3
(3) |
3.29 ↑
(3.23) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Derio
42% | Draw
30.3% | Alavés C
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Alavés C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (-0.7%)Derio - Alavés C Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 11).Derio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Alavés C is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Derio could have a small edge in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Derio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Derio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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