Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 14

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Leioa		San Ignacio

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.88	3.35
	2.15	2.95	3.57
	2.16	2.93	3.53
	2.15	2.8	3.5
	2.16	2.89	3.42
	2.12	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.14)	2.89 ↓ (2.9)	3.48 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leioa
42.4%

Draw
31.5%

San Ignacio
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

31.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

33.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for San Ignacio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Leioa - San Ignacio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 3.

Leioa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

San Ignacio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leioa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.12.25	Derio - Leioa	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Leioa - Touring KE	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Alavés C - Leioa	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Leioa - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Zarautz KE - Leioa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWT
- Club San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.12.25	San Ignacio - Eibar C	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Añorga - San Ignacio	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	San Ignacio - Durango	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Aretxabaleta - San Ignacio	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	San Ignacio - Zamudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.02.25	Leioa - San Ignacio	3:0
13.10.24	San Ignacio - Leioa	3:1
20.01.24	San Ignacio - Leioa	2:0
16.04.23	Leioa - San Ignacio	1:0
18.12.22	San Ignacio - Leioa	0:2
05.03.22	Leioa - San Ignacio	2:0
30.10.21	San Ignacio - Leioa	2:2

Leioa - San Ignacio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide