The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albenga 15%
Draw 22.2%
Varese 62.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.4%
22.5%
62.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15%
21.9%
63.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
The ML Model estimate for Albenga aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Albenga - Varese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
16', 0 - 1, Romero N. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Romero N. ⚽,
33', 0 - 3, Ropolo P. ⚽,
41', 0 - 4, Marangon P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
87', 0 - 5, Barzotti M. ⚽,
89', 0 - 6, Barzotti M. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
Albenga has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Cittร di Varese in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Albenga have a series of guest games.
Recently Cittร di Varese have a series of home games.
In this match Cittร di Varese is certain favorite.
Our prediction for today's Cittร di Varese to win the game is with odds 1.46.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Albenga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Albenga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
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