Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 17

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Artigas

	1	X	2
	1.73	3	4.75
	1.72	2.98	5.15
	1.75	3.03	5.84
	1.90	3.12	4.37	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.4
	1.72	3.15	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.72)	3.1 ↓ (3.5)	4.92 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
51.9%

Draw
29.5%

Artigas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.5%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

25.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Artigas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5%)

The ML Model estimate for Artigas aligns with the current prediction.

Albion Montevideo - Artigas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 and 11).

Albion is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Artigas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Artigas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Albion has had a series of away games.

In this match, Albion is the team to beat.

We predict that Albion will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Albion won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
06.08.25	Paysandú - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.08.25	Central Español - Albion Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWT
- CA Artigas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.08.25	Artigas - La Luz	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Artigas	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Artigas - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Artigas - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Colón Montevideo - Artigas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.06.25	Artigas - Albion Montevideo	0:1
27.04.25	Artigas - Albion Montevideo	1:2

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