Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 20

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Albion Montevideo		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	1.87	2.95	4
	1.85	3	4.15
	1.92	3.06	4.18
	2.05	3.08	3.80	Watch
	1.89	3	4.24
	1.88	3.14	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.9)	3.04 ↓ (3.19)	4.03 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
47.6%

Draw
29.9%

Deportivo Maldonado
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

28.4%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 and 8).

Albion is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maldonado has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Albion is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albion won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguay Copa
10.09.25	Albion Montevideo - Porongos	4:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.09.25	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Artigas	3:2 ✺
19.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLWW
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.09.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.10.22	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:3
15.07.22	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	2:3
04.06.22	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	0:0
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.08.19	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2

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