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Current Win Probability
Central Español 32.8%
Draw 29.7%
Albion Montevideo 37.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.9%
29.6%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
27.6%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Central Español - Albion Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pintado F. (G) 17. Fernandez L. 2. Rodriguez I. 14. Villoldo A. (C) 3. Dupont J. 24. Gandolfo G. 16. Mendez I. 21. Pino L. 10. Aguilera M. 8. Camarda F. 11. Sosa F.
1. Jaume S. (G) 2. Couture F. 13. Lacoste P. (C) 24. de los Santos M. 29. Puente F. 6. Moschion T. 5. Ginella F. 10. Airala C. 11. Toledo H. 32. Figueroa T. 16. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
12. Benitez A. (G) 28. Caro A. 25. Madruga A. 32. Montoro F. 7. Munoz F. 15. Pou J. 19. Sequeira S. 9. Tarragona R. 6. Urrutia M. 18. Yocco F.
33. Abreu F. 30. Barcia B. 27. Costa S. 20. Gutierrez R. 80. Llana B. 17. Marichal M. 8. Neira N. 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 12. Silva S. (G) 22. Vera A.
Coaches
Pacheco A.
Franco D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Airala C. ⚽,
23', Figueroa T. 🟨,
31', Pino L. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', Toledo H. ↓, Barcia B. ↑,
62', Ginella F. ↓, Costa S. ↑,
64', Couture F. 🟨,
67', Mendez I. ↓, Tarragona R. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Figueroa T. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
78', Sosa F. ↓, Montoro F. ↑,
80', Puente F. ↓, Neira N. ↑,
80', Airala C. ↓, Rodriguez Trezza L. ↑,
87', Villoldo A. ↓, Sequeira S. ↑,
87', Aguilera M. ↓, Munoz F. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Figueroa T. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Sequeira S. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 1.
Central Español has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Albion have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Albion in today's match, at odds of 2.46.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Central Español has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:15 (averaging 1.1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Central Español against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).