Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 16

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.65	2.7
	2.72	2.68	2.68
	2.94	2.8	2.75
	2.50	2.77	3.18	Watch
	2.75	2.62	2.75
	2.73	2.73	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.94)	2.71 ↓ (2.75)	2.79 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
33.6%

Draw
33.7%

Albion Montevideo
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

33.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

33.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
38', 0 - 1, Roldan N. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Roldan N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1).

Fenix has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Albion is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Artigas	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Central Español	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWT
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
06.08.25	Paysandú - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.08.25	Central Español - Albion Montevideo	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.05.25	Albion Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.09.22	Albion Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
13.06.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:1
24.04.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	2:1

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