The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albion Montevideo 36.2%
Draw 28.8%
Juventud de Las Piedras 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
29%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
28.4%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albion Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud de Las Piedras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Albion Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jaume S. (G) 15. Alcoba P. 2. Couture F. 80. Llana B. 16. Alvarez J. 6. Moschion T. 11. Toledo H. 27. Costa S. 5. Ginella F. (C) 22. Vera A. 9. Lopez A.
1. Sosa S. (C) 24. Barrandeguy F. 2. Pernicone P. 5. Morosini D. 8. Rolon K. 19. Cecchini E. 14. Roldan L. 37. Peralta R. 26. Pereiro G. 15. Cruz A. 80. Mimbacas F.
Substitutes
14. Alcoba M. 24. de los Santos M. 32. Figueroa T. 20. Gutierrez R. 13. Lacoste P. 8. Neira N. 23. Perez del Castillo B. 29. Puente F. 31. Silva S. (G) 7. Zufiaurre I.
7. Alaniz A. 20. Arady B. 27. Boselli J. 22. Chagas R. 12. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 31. Diaz M. 30. Gomez G. 10. Larregui B. 21. Perez F. 28. Risso F.
Coaches
Nieves F.
Blanco Soto S. R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Mimbacas F. ⚽,
6', 0 - 2, Mimbacas F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vera A. ↓, Zufiaurre I. ↑,
48', Peralta R. 🟨,
49', Sosa S. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Lopez A. ⚽,
64', Pereiro G. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
65', Cruz A. ↓, Chagas R. ↑,
67', Zufiaurre I. 🟨,
77', Mimbacas F. ↓, Larregui B. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Larregui B. ⚽,
79', Costa S. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
79', Ginella F. ↓, Neira N. ↑,
84', Cecchini E. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
84', Peralta R. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
86', Moschion T. ↓, Perez del Castillo B. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albion won 3.
Albion is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Juventud have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Juventud may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Albion has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:7 (averaging 1.1:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Albion against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Jaume S. (G) 
Moschion T. 
