Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Cerro Largo		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.00	2.80	Watch
	2.35	3.10	2.85
	2.60	3.10	2.55
	2.46	3.11	3.02
	2.43	3.12	2.96	Watch
	2.40	3.00	2.95
	2.37	3.00	2.85	Watch
	2.36	3.10	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.44)	3.07 ↓ (3.14)	2.85 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
38%

Draw
29.9%

Albion Montevideo
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cerro Largo - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th and 16th).

In recent outings, Cerro Largo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Albion has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Albion could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Cerro Largo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Largo has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerro Largo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Cerro Largo	9	0	5	4	6:12	-6	5
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Albion Montevideo - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.98%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.10.26	Danubio - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
30.09.26	Cerro Largo - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.09.26	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Cerro Largo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLTT
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.10.26	Albion Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	3:2 ✺
28.09.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Albion Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:3 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.09.26	Albion Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
05.04.26	Albion Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:2
18.09.22	Cerro Largo - Albion Montevideo	1:2
16.04.22	Albion Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1

Cerro Largo - Albion Montevideo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide