Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla (Melo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guerra E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:00	Disney+
Brazil	15:00	Disney+
Mexico	12:00	Disney+
Peru	13:00	Disney+
Uruguay	15:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	14:00	Disney+


	Cerro Largo		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.8	Watch
	2.37	3.10	2.80
	2.35	3.05	2.85
	2.51	3.16	3.09
	2.44	3.14	2.98	Watch
	2.4	3.05	3
	2.37	3	2.85	Watch
	2.39	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.44)	3.08 ↓ (3.14)	2.91 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
38.5%

Draw
29.9%

Albion Montevideo
31.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Cerro Largo - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 3. Piegas A. 19. Prado A. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 15. Assis S. (C) 25. Jourdan E. 29. Lozano B. 10. Pandiani A. 18. Daguerre D.	1. Jaume S. (G) 2. Couture F. 13. Lacoste P. (C) 24. de los Santos M. 29. Puente F. 6. Moschion T. 5. Ginella F. 7. Zufiaurre I. 11. Toledo H. 16. Alvarez J. 32. Figueroa T.
Substitutes
16. Acosta F. 13. Barone B. 21. Cabral E. 26. de Leon E. 6. Ergas R. 24. Gonzalez L. (G) 30. Hernandez B. 23. Pipe 28. Ramos N. 7. Viera G.	10. Airala C. 30. Barcia B. 27. Costa S. 20. Gutierrez R. 80. Llana B. 9. Lopez A. 8. Neira N. 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 31. Silva S. (G) 22. Vera A.
Coaches
Ordonez I.	Franco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Garcia M. 🟨,
19', Assis S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garcia M. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
59', Figueroa T. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
59', Toledo H. ↓, Airala C. ↑,
60', Franca S. 🟨,
62', Zufiaurre I. 🟨,
70', Piegas A. 🟨,
70', Daguerre D. ↓, Barone B. ↑,
70', Jourdan E. ↓, de Leon E. ↑,
70', Lozano B. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
71', Zufiaurre I. ↓, Barcia B. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽,
79', Pandiani A. ↓, Pipe ↑,
82', Airala C. 🟨,
87', Ginella F. ↓, Neira N. ↑,
87', Puente F. ↓, Costa S. ↑,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 14th and 16th).

In recent outings, Cerro Largo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Albion has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cerro Largo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cerro Largo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Largo has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerro Largo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Albion	12	4	0	8	15:20	-5	12
14	Cerro Largo	12	1	6	5	9:14	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Albion Montevideo - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.98%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.10.26	Danubio - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
30.09.26	Cerro Largo - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.09.26	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Cerro Largo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLTT
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.10.26	Albion Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	3:2 ✺
28.09.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Albion Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:3 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.09.26	Albion Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
05.04.26	Albion Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:2
18.09.22	Cerro Largo - Albion Montevideo	1:2
16.04.22	Albion Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1

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