Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Danubio

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.30
	2.02	3.1	3.6
	2.09	3.27	4.02
	2.07	3.21	3.71
	2.01	3.2	3.95
	2.03	3.23	3.75	Watch
	2.04	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.99)	3.2 ↑ (3.13)	3.7 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
45.7%

Draw
29.1%

Danubio
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

28.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Juventud de Las Piedras - Danubio Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Juventud will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Danubio (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Danubio (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (C) 24. Barrandeguy F. 2. Pernicone P. 23. Mas E. 16. Rabino R. 19. Cecchini E. 14. Roldan L. 26. Pereiro G. 7. Alaniz A. 15. Cruz A. 10. Larregui B.	1. Goicoechea M. (C) 4. Rinaldi M. 19. Brasil M. 31. Cavanagh T. 8. Rodriguez S. 5. Millan J. 10. Peralta M. 6. Sosa L. 18. Balatti F. 30. Fernandez S. 77. Tomatis B.
Substitutes
20. Arady B. 27. Boselli J. 22. Chagas R. 12. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 31. Diaz M. 30. Gomez G. 80. Mimbacas F. 5. Morosini D. 28. Risso F. 8. Rolon K.	7. Cabrera E. 27. Costantino I. 28. Femia E. 20. Ferreira M. 32. Martinez K. (G) 16. Rossi I. 38. Trasante J. 17. Velazquez A. 2. Velazquez E.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Rocco L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Fernandez S. ⚽, Sosa L. (A),
30', Fernandez S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rabino R. ↓, Rolon K. ↑,
46', Mas E. ↓, Risso F. ↑,
59', Alaniz A. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
67', Fernandez S. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
67', Brasil M. ↓, Velazquez E. ↑,
67', Pereiro G. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
75', Tomatis B. ↓, Costantino I. ↑,
75', Peralta M. ↓, Trasante J. ↑,
79', Cruz A. ↓, Arady B. ↑,
81', Sosa S. 🟨,
82', Velazquez E. 🟨,
82', Sosa L. ↓, Tizon C. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Mimbacas F. ⚽, Cecchini E. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 1.

Juventud is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Danubio has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Danubio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Juventud might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventud	9	3	5	1	10:6	4	14
13	Danubio	9	1	4	4	4:10	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
02.09.26	Central Español - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.08.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Deportivo Maldonado	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Central Español - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWWW
- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.09.26	Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:4 ✺
Uruguay Copa
01.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Danubio	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.08.26	Progreso - Danubio	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Danubio - Atenas de San Carlos	3:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.08.26	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
05.07.26	Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1
16.03.26	Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras	4:1
10.08.25	Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1
21.06.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Danubio	3:1
09.02.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Danubio	2:2
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.10.21	Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1
01.07.21	Juventud de Las Piedras - Danubio	0:1

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