Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 22

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Alcains		Coruchense

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.95	2.1
	3.1	3.16	2.32
	3.24	3	2.22
	3.2	3	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (4.05)	3.03 ↓ (3.04)	2.22 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcains
28.7%

Draw
30.1%

Coruchense
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

30%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

29.3%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcains's performance.

Coruchense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coruchense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcains that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coruchense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coruchense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Alcains has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Coruchense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Coruchense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcains won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcains
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Sintrense - Alcains	4:1 ✺
26.02.23	Alcains - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	SB Castelo Branco - Alcains	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Alcains - Rio Maior	Canceled ✺
05.02.23	Marinhense - Alcains	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLT?L
- GD Coruchense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Coruchense - Loures	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Pero Pinheiro - Coruchense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Arronches Benfica - Coruchense	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Coruchense - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	União de Santarém - Coruchense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Coruchense - Alcains	4:0

Alcains - Coruchense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide