PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21
Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday
SB Castelo Branco
Alcains
1
X
2
1.95
2.9
3.75
1.96
3.03
4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.96 ↑ (1.7)
2.97 ↓ (3.3)
3.9 ↓ (4.83)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SB Castelo Branco 46.3%
Draw 30.5%
Alcains 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
27.6%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
27%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SB Castelo Branco's form might have worsened.
Alcains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SB Castelo Branco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
SB Castelo Branco - Alcains Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
Both teams are in bad shape now.
In this match SB Castelo Branco is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches SB Castelo Branco won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
Including matches at home between the teams SB Castelo Branco won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
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