PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 23
Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday
Marinhense
Alcains
1
X
2
1.63
3.4
4.75
1.61
3.7
4.8
1.6
3.62
5.07
1.61
3.7
4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.61 ↓ (1.63)
3.61 ↑ (3.44)
4.86 ↓ (5.13)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marinhense 56.2%
Draw 25.1%
Alcains 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
26.4%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
25.2%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Alcains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Marinhense - Alcains Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Luis O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
Marinhense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Alcains is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Marinhense is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Marinhense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Marinhense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
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