Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Alcalá		Alcorcón B

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.51	3.9	5.6
	1.54	3.83	5.64
				Watch
	1.48	3.94	5.9
	1.51	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)	3.86 ↑ (3.81)	5.55 ↓ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
60.1%

Draw
23.5%

Alcorcón B
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

24%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

23.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Alcalá - Alcorcón B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 3, ⚽,
73', 0 - 4, ⚽,
77', Sanchez B. 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 3.

Alcalá is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Alcorcón B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcalá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcalá is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcalá won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.04.25	Torrejón - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Alcalá - Cala Pozuelo	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Leganés B - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTTW
- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.04.25	Alcorcón B - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Leganés B - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Alcorcón B - Tres Cantos	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.12.24	Alcorcón B - Alcalá	2:4
28.04.24	Alcorcón B - Alcalá	0:1
17.01.24	Alcalá - Alcorcón B	2:1
06.03.22	Alcalá - Alcorcón B	2:2
07.11.21	Alcorcón B - Alcalá	0:0
15.12.19	Alcorcón B - Alcalá	1:1
20.01.19	Alcorcón B - Alcalá	1:0

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