Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Alcalá		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.96	3.1	3.59
	1.96	3.1	3.59
	1.95	3.14	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.24)	3.11 ↑ (2.94)	3.62 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
46.2%

Draw
29%

Móstoles URJC
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

32.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 1.

Recent matches Alcalá is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Móstoles URJC is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcalá will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.11.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Alcalá - Canillas	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Siello - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLW
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.11.23	Móstoles URJC - Torrejón	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Alcorcón B - Móstoles URJC	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Móstoles URJC - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Móstoles URJC - Rayo Vallecano B	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Móstoles URJC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.04.23	Móstoles URJC - Alcalá	1:0
08.01.23	Alcalá - Móstoles URJC	0:1
09.02.20	Alcalá - Móstoles URJC	3:0
22.09.19	Móstoles URJC - Alcalá	3:2
13.04.19	Alcalá - Móstoles URJC	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
12.10.17	Móstoles URJC - Alcalá	2:2

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