Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 10

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Alcalá		Paracuellos Antamira

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.25	4.75
	1.53	3.5	5.88
	1.54	3.5	5.88
	1.52	3.62	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	3.47 ↓ (3.49)	5.62 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
57.8%

Draw
26.1%

Paracuellos Antamira
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.6%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Paracuellos Antamira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Alcalá aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paracuellos Antamira than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 1.

Alcalá is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paracuellos Antamira is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alcalá is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcalá won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.11.23	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Alcalá - Canillas	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Siello - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Trival Valderas - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWT
- Paracuellos Antamira
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.11.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Torrejón	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Alcorcón B - Paracuellos Antamira	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Real Madrid C	1:4 ✺
15.10.23	Móstoles URJC - Paracuellos Antamira	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.01.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcalá	1:1
17.09.22	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	0:1
30.01.22	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	0:1
25.09.21	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcalá	1:2
21.03.21	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcalá	2:2
20.12.20	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	0:0
29.02.20	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcalá	5:0

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