Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Trival Valderas		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.25	1.91
	3.86	3.1	1.9
	3.82	3.31	1.91	Watch
	3.81	3.25	1.89
	3.75	3.25	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.31)	3.23 ↓ (3.43)	1.9 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
24%

Draw
28.2%

Alcalá
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26.7%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

26%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Trival Valderas - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Moussa R. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Portero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 2, Portero A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trival Valderas won 1.

Recent matches Trival Valderas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcalá in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcalá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alcalá will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Trival Valderas won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:7 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Trival Valderas won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.02.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Trival Valderas	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Trival Valderas - Leganés B	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Tres Cantos - Trival Valderas	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Trival Valderas - El Álamo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLTW
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.02.25	Alcalá - Aravaca	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	México - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Alcalá - Parla	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Las Rozas - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.10.24	Alcalá - Trival Valderas	1:0
25.02.24	Alcalá - Trival Valderas	1:1
08.10.23	Trival Valderas - Alcalá	2:2
04.03.23	Alcalá - Trival Valderas	1:0
29.10.22	Trival Valderas - Alcalá	3:1
14.04.22	Trival Valderas - Alcalá	0:0
12.12.21	Alcalá - Trival Valderas	1:0

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