Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Alcalá		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.87	2.1
	3.15	3.1	1.97
	3.3	2.85	2.09
	3.25	2.72	2.1
	3.34	3.08	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	2.92 ↑ (2.72)	2.08 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
27.1%

Draw
30.3%

Atlético Madrid B
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

31.9%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

23.4%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcalá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcalá - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Alcalá is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Madrid B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcalá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético Madrid B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcalá won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.22	Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Alcalá - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	3:0 ✺
30.01.22	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	0:1 ✺
26.01.22	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WTLLL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.02.22	Atlético Madrid B - Complutense Alcalá	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Moratalaz - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
09.02.22	CDE Madrid - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Atlético Madrid B - Villaviciosa de Odón	7:1 ✺
27.01.22	Atlético Madrid B - Villaverde San Andrés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.10.21	Atlético Madrid B - Alcalá	1:1
Club Friendly
30.08.17	Alcalá - Atlético Madrid B	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.04.13	Atlético Madrid B - Alcalá	3:0

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